TY  - JOUR
TI  - Stray Thoughts on How It Might Go
T2  - Economic Sociology
IS  - Economic Sociology
KW  - economic theory
KW  - economic forecast
KW  - well-being
KW  - labour and employment
KW  - natural resources
KW  - technology
KW  - social inequality
KW  - global inequality
KW  - public policy
AB  - The idea of the book, In 100 Years: Leading Economists Predict the Future, edited by Ignacio Palacios-Huerta (MIT Press, 2013), is to demonstrate the predicting powers of economics. Relying on practical experience, theoretical knowledge about mechanics of the economy, and professional intuition, distinguished economists make their century-ahead forecast. The book contains ten essays, including ones written by Nobel Memorial Prize Laureates Angus Deaton (2015), Robert J. Shiller (2013), Alvin E. Roth (2012), and Robert M. Solow (1987). Prominent social scientists try to predict what kind of future awaits labor, inequality, world economy lineup, technology, etc. The Journal of Economic Sociology publishes the Russian translation of the essay "Stray Thoughts on How It Might Go" by Robert M. Solow. The author sounds modestly pessimistic, expecting the coming decades to be far more troubling and difficult than the twentieth century. The main sources of uncertainty and future changes are the evolution of decisions about work and leisure, relative growth of developed countries and emerging economies, the impact of climate change on economic growth, changes in proportion in which income is divided between labor income and capital, and the overall political environment.
AU  - Robert M. Solow
UR  - https://ecsoc.hse.ru/en/2016-17-1/173187176.html
PY  - 2016
SP  - 22-29
VL  - 17